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The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether a credit crunch occurred in Germany during the recent financial crisis and to analyze the underlying factors. In order to disentangle credit supply and demand we specify a theory-based dynamic disequilibrium model of the German credit market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580067
It is widely perceived that the supply of mortgages, especially since the extensive liberalization of the mortgage market since the 1980s, has had implications for the Dutch housing market. In this paper we introduce a new method to estimate a credit condition index (CCI). The credit conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495389
Using a new structural model of credit risk based on the normal instead of the lognormal firm value dynamics and market price implied asset value volatility as the model volatility input, we quantify the value of credit spreads of the four largest U.S. banks had their senior unsecured bonds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956317
This article presents three alternative models for decomposing loan developments into components associated with changes in loan demand and supply fundamentals. Two models are based on macro data (error correction model and structural vector autoregression with sign restrictions) and one is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026124
The increase in the lending rate in Nigeria has affected the borrowers in the financial system and it has invariably reduced the pace of economic activities in the country. Such a situation created the need to examine the impact of the lending rate on bank lending in Nigeria. The study made use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014466513
Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking and securitization activities that are orthogonal to real economy and monetary policy innovations account for more than 30 percent of U.S. output variation. The dynamic effects, however, depend on the type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
This paper investigates the role of credit demand and supply shocks in driving the weakness in UK banks' lending and economic activity during both the recent financial crisis and the various UK financial crises since 1966. It uses a structural vector autoregression analysis to identify separate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071472
This paper identifies credit booms in 11 Euro Area countries by tracking private loans from the banking sector. The events are associated with both financial crises and specific macro fluctuations, but the standard identification through threshold methods does not allow to catch credit booms in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840491
We analyse the macroeconomic effects of exogenous contractions in bank lending to non-financial corporations in the Euro Area, Germany, France, Italy and Spain using a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with endogenous hyperparameter selection and identification via sign restrictions. We focus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860826
Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking and securitization activities that are orthogonal to real economy and monetary policy innovations account for more than 30 percent of U.S. output variation. The dynamic effects, however, depend on the type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055428