We present a stochastic simulation forecasting model for stress testing aimed at assessing banks' capital adequacy, financial fragility and probability of default. The paper provides a theoretical presentation of the methodology and the essential features of the forecasting model on which it is...

We present a stochastic simulation forecasting model to stress-test banks' capital adequacy and to estimate probability of infringement of regulatory capital ratios and default probability. The stochastic methodology proposed is based on a simplified reduced model that provides a manageable...

The recent period of crisis in credit markets has highlighted the crucial role of bank risk taking. Our paper assesses the inter-temporal relationships among bank efficiency, capital and bank risk-taking in the EU-26 commercial banking industry between 1995 and 2007. Our results support the bad...

Conventional performance indicators, especially after recent financial restructuring initiatives, are criticized more than ever for not associating performance and risk. The purpose of this study is to benchmark performance of banks in comparison to risk-taking preferences, under different...