Accurate measurement of bank risk is a matter of considerable importance for bank regulation and supervision. Current practices in most countries emphasize reliance on financial statement data for assessing banks’ risk. However, the possibility of increased reliance on market-based risk...

We review heterogeneous agent-based models of financial stability and their application in stress tests. In contrast to the mainstream approach, which relies heavily on the rational expectations assumption and focuses on situations where it is possible to compute an equilibrium, this approach...

The most recent global credit mishap of 2008, the worst financial catastrophe of the 21st century, succeeded the Great Depression of the 1930s as the worst event of all times, and used in stress testing under severely adverse scenario analysis. Rather promoting financial stability, the Basel...

In this study we disentangle two dimensions of banks' systemic risk: the level of bank tail risk and the linkage between a bank's tail risk and severe shocks in the financial system. We employ a measure of the systemic risk of financial institutions that can be decomposed into two subcomponents...

By using data from thirteen publicly traded commercial and deposit banks this paper estimates the determinants of market risk for bank equities in the case of an emerging market setting, Turkey. The analysis reveals that maturity composition of a bank's loans, the share of trading income in a...

Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, stress tests based on extreme-yet-plausible scenarios have become a preferred method of assessing risk for large financial institutions, yet scenario choice has largely been ad-hoc. We propose a principled methodology to choose scenarios by minimizing the...

This study assesses the credit rating migration risk and interconnectedness among bank-to-listed firms and insurer-to-listed firms in Japan's corporate lending market during the fiscal years 2008-2015. The study uses outstanding lending data with borrowers and lenders names to conduct a...

We present a framework for measuring the evolution of risks to financial stability over the financial cycle, which we apply to the United Kingdom. We identify 29 indicators of financial stability risk, drawing from the literature on early warning indicators of banking crises. We normalise and...

This paper evaluates the model risk of models used for forecasting systemic and market risk. Model risk, which is the potential for different models to provide inconsistent outcomes, is shown to be increasing with market uncertainty. During calm periods, the underlying risk forecast models...