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This paper presents the updated macroprudential stress test for the euro area banking system, comprising around 100 of the largest euro area credit institutions across 19 countries. The approach involves modelling banks' reactions to changing economic conditions. It also examines the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014530281
expeditious response times. In out-of-sample forecasting, the Qual VAR outperforms a probit model. Improved forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235526
. Premised on pursuing cyclical movements through multiple outcomes, our findings on forecasting performance suggest enhanced … methods make a valuable contribution to improved forecasting performance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403254
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226304
In several recent studies unit root methods have been used in detection of financial bubbles in asset prices. The basic idea is that fundamental changes in the autocorrelation structure of relevant time series imply the presence of a rational price bubble. We provide cross-country evidence for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976947
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156891
This paper considers the issue of forecasting financial fragility of banks and insurances using a panel data set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271107
This study is motivated by the development of credit-related instruments and signals of stock price movements of large banks during the recent financial crisis. What is common to most of the empirical studies in this field is that they concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010209431
The market-based SRISK measure introduced in Brownlees and Engle (2015) is used to measure the level of systemic risk in Danish banks for the period 2005-15. We find that SRISK was a very good predictor of which banks that needed public capital injections during the financial crisis of 2007-09....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439967
This paper contributes to the literature on systemic risk by examining the network structure of bilateral exposures in the global banking system. The global interbank market constitutes a major part of the global banking system. The market has a hierarchical network structure, composed of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004571