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Gambling for Resurrection in Iceland : The Rise and Fall of the Banks
Baldursson, Fridrik Mar - 2013
crisis of October 2008, when all three major banks in Iceland collapsed in three successive days. The country is still … of Iceland (CBI) saw the systemic risks created by lending to owners and related parties, which increased greatly from … countries had the resources to bail out their irresponsible and illiquid banks, Iceland did not, and it received little foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072334
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Market sentiment, financial fragility, and economic activity : the role of corporate securities issuance
Dieckelmann, Daniel - 2021
Using new quarterly U.S. data for the past 120 years, I show that sudden reversals in equity and credit market sentiment approximated by several measures of corporate securities issuance are highly predictive of banking crises and recessions. Deviations in equity issuance from historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431742
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Cross-border liquidity, relationships and monetary policy : evidence from the Euro area interbank crisis
Abbassi, Puriya; Bräuning, Falk; Fecht, Falko; … - 2014 - This version: November 2014
We analyze the impact of financial crises and monetary policy on the supply of wholesale funding liquidity, and also on the compositional supply effects through cross-border and relationship lending. For empirical identification, we draw on the proprietary bank-to-bank European interbank dataset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471858
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Tackling the volatility paradox: spillover persistence and systemic risk
Kubitza, Christian - 2021 - This version: April 13, 2021
This paper proposes Spillover Persistence as a measure for financial fragility. The volatility paradox predicts that fragility builds up when volatility is low, which challenges existing measures. Spillover Persistence tackles this challenge by exploring a novel dimension of systemic risk: loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499703
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Twin default crises
Mendicino, Caterina; Nikolov, Kalin; Rubio-Ramírez, … - 2020
We study the interaction between borrowers' and banks' solvency in a quantitative macroeconomic model with financial frictions in which bank assets are a portfolio of defaultable loans. We show that ex-ante imperfect diversification of bank lending generates bank asset returns with limited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224086
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Financial vulnerability and economic dynamics in Malaysia
Kuek, Tai-Hock; Puah, Chin-Hong; M. Affendy Arip - In: Journal of central banking theory and practice 9 (2020), pp. 55-73
This study attempts to develop a financial vulnerability indicator serving as a composite indicator for the state of financial vulnerability. The indicator was constructed from 10 variables of macroeconomic, financial and property market by extracting a common vulnerability component through the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306680
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An optimal early warning system for currency crises under model uncertainty
Abdelsalam, Mamdouh Abdelmoula Mohamed; Abdel-Latif, Hany - In: Central Bank review / Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey 20 (2020) 3, pp. 99-107
This paper assesses several early warning (EWS) models of financial crises to propose a model that can predict the incidence of a currency crisis in developing countries. For this purpose, we employ the equal weighting (EW) and dynamic model averaging (DMA) approaches to combine forecast from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311939
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The General Theory as "depression economics"? : financial instability and crises in Keynes's monetary thought
Bibow, Jörg - 2020
This paper revisits Keynes's writings from Indian Currency and Finance (1913) to The General Theory (1936) with a focus on financial instability. The analysis reveals Keynes's astute concerns about the stability/fragility of the banking system, especially under deflationary conditions. Keynes's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291986
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Leaning against the wind and crisis risk
Schularick, Moritz; Ter Steege, Lucas; Ward, Felix - 2020
Can central banks defuse rising stability risks in financial booms by leaning against the wind with higher interest rates? This paper studies the state-dependent effects of monetary policy on financial stability. Based on the near-universe of advanced economy financial cycles since the 19th...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260596
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A new database for financial crises in European countries : ECB/ESRB EU crises database : developed by FSC MPAG and ESRB AWG
Lo Duca, Marco; Koban, Anne; Basten, Marisa; Bengtsson, … - 2017
This paper presents a new database for financial crises in European countries, which serves as an important step towards establishing a common ground for macroprudential oversight and policymaking in the EU. The database focuses on providing precise chronological definitions of crisis periods to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011698592