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Machine learning tools are well known for their success in prediction. But prediction is not causation, and causal discovery is at the core of most questions concerning economic policy. Recently, however, the literature has focused more on issues of causality. This paper gently introduces some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154563
The paper analyses problems arising from the interdependence of liquidity provision in the financial system. Findings document, that liquidity shortage of minor financial players can translate into liquidity shortage for systemic relevant players, thereby putting the proper functioning of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294698
contagion depends on the precise pattern of interbank linkages. We use balance sheet information to estimate the matrix of … contagion. We find that the financial safety net (institutional guarantees for saving banks and cooperative banks) considerably … reduces - but does not eliminate - the danger of contagion. Even so, the failure of a single bank could lead to the breakdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295726
This paper attempts to answer the question whether the threat of systemic risk in banking exists only on a national or on a European level. Following De Nicolo and Kwast (2001), mean rolling-window correlations between bank stock returns are used as a measure for interdependencies among European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298100
This paper attempts to answer the question whether the threat of systemic risk in banking exists only on a national or on a European level. Following De Nicolo and Kwast (2001), mean rolling-window correlations between bank stock returns are used as a measure for interdependencies among European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301767
system to interbank contagion. Third, the more concentrated assets are within a money center model, the less stable it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302604
this mechanism, fire sales can lead to contagion, and one failing bank can cause several more to follow suit. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390660
This paper tests financial contagion due to interbank linkages. For identification we exploit an idiosyncratic, sudden … contagion is higher for banks with weaker fundamentals. Third, interbank linkages among surviving banks further propagate the … linkages act as an important channel of contagion and hold important policy implications. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605193
This paper examines common regulation as cause of interbank contagion. Studies based on the correlation of bank assets … and the extent of interbank lending may underestimate the likelihood of contagion because they do not incorporate the fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605242
contagion only occurs if the correlation between the portfolios of banks is high enough. Without deposit insurance contagious … bank runs can impose such great losses on banks, that banks choose less correlated portfolios to avoid contagion altogether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263073