This paper aims to quantify the political risk effect and its different economic implications in normal and crisis situations through the proxy analysis of election and the sovereign bond spreads. Our study leads to three main findings. First, in normal economic situations, elections and...

The global financial crisis of 2007-2009 spread through different channels from its origin in the United States to large parts of the world. In this paper we explore the financial and the trade channel in a unified framework and quantify their relative importance for this transmission....

Recent international macroeconomics literature on global imbalances explains the U.S. persistent current account deficit and emerging countries' surplus. Little research has been done at the banking-sector level, where U.S. banks are lenders to banks in emerging countries. We build a two-country...