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We develop a Bayesian semi-parametric approach to the instrumental variable problem. We assume linear structural and reduced form equations, but model the error distributions non-parametrically. A Dirichlet process prior is used for the joint distribution of structural and instrumental variable...
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While demand models require a sound understanding of economic processes and should be flexible enough to capture nonlinearities, endogeneity can greatly hinder the identification of (nonlinear) causal relationships. To tackle these issues, we extend the instrument-free Gaussian copula approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014344614
This study proposes a Bayesian approach for exact finite-sample inference of an instrument-free estimation method that builds upon joint estimation using copulas to deal with endogenous covariates. Although copula approaches with applications to handle regressor-endogeneity have been frequently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243806
Quantitative investment strategies are often selected from a broad class of candidate models estimated and tested on historical data. Standard statistical technique to prevent model overfitting such as out-sample back-testing turns out to be unreliable in the situation when selection is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011722180
This paper provides inference methods for best linear approximations to functions which are known to lie within a band. It extends the partial identification literature by allowing the upper and lower functions defining the band to be any functions, including ones carrying an index, which can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009692055
Following Lancaster (2002), we propose a strategy to solve the incidental parameter problem. The method is demonstrated under a simple panel Poisson count model. We also extend the strategy to accomodate cases when information orthogonality is unavailable, such as the linear AR(p) panel model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003817215
This paper develops a sampling algorithm for bandwidth estimation in a nonparametric regression model with continuous and discrete regressors under an unknown error density. The error density is approximated by the kernel density estimator of the unobserved errors, while the regression function...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506243
This paper proposes a Bayesian nonparametric modeling approach for the return distribution in multivariate GARCH models. In contrast to the parametric literature, the return distribution can display general forms of asymmetry and thick tails. An infinite mixture of multivariate normals is given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009565827