Showing 1 - 10 of 10,282
This paper analyzes the contribution of anticipated capital and labor tax shocks to business cycle volatility in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748254
develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to … quantity during estimation. Only a limited number of contributions to the literature estimate uncertainty and its macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978764
marginal likelihood and deviance information criterion (DIC) for TVP-VARs with stochastic volatility. The proposed estimators … with stochastic volatility compared to a conventional constant coefficients VAR with homoscedastic innovations. Most of the … gains, however, appear to have come from allowing for stochastic volatility rather than time variation in the VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017876
This paper conducts an empirical analysis of the heterogeneity of recessions in monthly U.S. coincident and leading indicator variables. Univariate Markovswitching models indicate that it is appropriate to allow for two distinct recession regimes, corresponding with 'mild' and 'severe'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511771
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720726
provided between frequentist and Bayesian estimation. No significant difference is found between the qualities of the forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976219
vast model space of time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility and correlated state transitions. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057840
estimating trivariate hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR models with stochastic volatility for the three-month Treasury …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490330
This paper studies the properties of the Bayesian approach to estimation and comparison of dynamic equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032688