Raftery, Adrian; Chunn, Jennifer; Gerland, Patrick; … - In: Demography 50 (2013) 3, pp. 777-801
We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model for producing probabilistic forecasts of male period life expectancy at birth for all the countries of the world to 2100. Such forecasts would be an input to the production of probabilistic population projections for all countries, which is currently...