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Professional forecasters and real-time forecasting with a DSGE model

Smets, Frank; Warne, Anders; Wouters, Rafael - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 981-995

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517773

Using survey information for improving the density nowcasting of US GDP with a focus on predictive performance during Covid-19 pandemic

Çakmaklı, Cem; Demircan, Hamza - 2020

We provide a methodology that efficiently combines the statistical models of nowcasting with the survey information for improving the (density) nowcasting of US real GDP. Specifically, we use the conventional dynamic factor model together with a stochastic volatility component as the baseline...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628449

Assessing the impact of goods and services inflation on consumer and professional forecaster expectations : a bayesian shrinkage approach

Palardy, Joseph; Ovaska, Tomi - In: Applied economics 57 (2025) 6, pp. 678-689

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015192445

Real-time forecasting with a (standard) mixed-frequency VAR during a pandemic

Schorfheide, Frank; Song, Dongho - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821054

Uncertainty, information, and disagreement of economic forecasters

Shoja, Mehdi; Soofi, Ehsan S. - In: Econometric reviews 36 (2017) 6/9, pp. 796-817

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795499

Mis-specified forecasts and myopia in an estimated new Keynesian model

Hajdini, Ina - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822287

Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area

Ganics, Gergely; Odendahl, Florens - 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198320

Using survey information for improving the density nowcasting of US GDP with a focus on predictive performance during Covid-19 pandemic

Çakmaklı, Cem; Demircan, Hamza - 2020

We provide a methodology that efficiently combines the statistical models of nowcasting with the survey information for improving the (density) nowcasting of US real GDP. Specifically, we use the conventional dynamic factor model together with a stochastic volatility component as the baseline...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295853

Are professional forecasters Bayesian?

Manzan, Sebastiano - In: Journal of economic dynamics & control 123 (2021), pp. 1-22

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012666320

Lumpy forecasts : Isaac Baley, Javier Turen

Baley, Isaac; Turen, Javier - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015374446

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