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This paper considers multiple market agents who have distinct distributional opinions about the state price density. Different opinions can be contested on a hypothetical market that trades Arrow-Debreu securities. We focus on the situation when the agents are maximizing logarithmic utility as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842310
Commodity style-integration is appealing because by forming a unique long-short portfolio with simultaneous exposure to mildly correlated factors, a larger risk premium can be captured over time than with any of the underlying standalone styles. A practical decision that a commodity...
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We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for the estimation of the pricing kernel. Historical stock returns and option market data are combined through the Dirichlet Process (DP) to construct an option-adjusted physical measure. The precision parameter of the DP process is calibrated to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506354
The valuation of options and many other derivative instruments requires an estimation of exante or forward looking volatility. This paper adopts a Bayesian approach to estimate stock price volatility. We find evidence that overall Bayesian volatility estimates more closely approximate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555938
We develop an efficient Monte Carlo method for the valuation of a financial contract with payoff dependent on discretely realized variance. We assume a general model in which asset returns are random shocks modulated by a stochastic volatility process. Realized variance is the sum of squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135712
The price disparity between the A- and H-share markets for dual-listed firms in China is one of the most intriguing puzzles in the mainland and Hong Kong financial markets. In this paper, we revisit this price disparity puzzle using the channel of parameter uncertainty. In the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092235
Among the 5,000 equity mutual funds in the world, more than 80 percent belong to some fund family. A fund family is a group of mutual funds supervised by the same investment group. Despite the prevalence of the family organization, previous literature, when evaluating mutual fund performance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112761
In dynamic asset pricing models, when the model structure becomes complex and derivatives data are introduced in estimation, traditional Bayesian MCMC methods converge slowly, are difficult to design efficient proposals for parameters, and have large computational cost. We propose a two-stage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935406