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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102365
In this paper, we report the results of experiments designed to test whether individuals and groups abide by the axioms of monotonicity, with respect to first-order stochastic dominance and Bayesian updating, when making decisions in the face of risk. The results indicate a significant number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014055667
response to a randomized information treatment, and new information also causes changes in imprecision levels. We show that we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
are updated in response to new information. For 70% of the subjects, we can reject the objective equality hypothesis that … the subjects. Among them, most subjects under-react to new information compared to what Bayes' rule implies. Finally, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012303335
distribution of subjective beliefs and examine how beliefs are updated, incorporating new information. We find that beliefs and … to new information. Finally, we find that subjects adjust their beliefs symmetrically to good news and to bad news. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432016
We study how information affects equilibria and welfare in games. For an agent, more precise information about an … obtain either a non-increasing mean or a non-decreasing-mean spread of actions whenever information precision increases for … environments. In persuasion games, we derive sufficient conditions that lead to extremal disclosure of information. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012166206
People typically update their beliefs about their own abilities too little in response to feed-back, a phenomenon known as "conservatism", and some studies suggest that they overweight good relative to bad signals ("asymmetry"). We measure individual conservatism and asymmetry in three tasks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011483816
", which ensures that the old information is used correctly after an unforeseen event materializes. We find that participants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306040
", which ensures that the old information is used correctly after an unforeseen event materializes. We find that participants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307444
irreversible effects, but where the decision-maker can improve her information about the true future preferences. This problem was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023926