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Big data financial transactions and GDP nowcasting : the case of Turkey

Barlas, Ali B.; Mert, Seda Guler; Isa, Berk Orkun; … - In: Journal of forecasting 43 (2024) 2, pp. 227-248

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014475297

Spain in the euro : a general equilibrium analysis

Andrés Domingo, Javier Angel; Hurtado López, Samuel; … - 2009

This paper analyzes the determinants of Spain's macroeconomic fluctuations since the inception of the euro in 1999, with a special attention to observed growth and inflation differentials with respect to the rest of the European Monetary Union (EMU). For that purpose we estimate the Banco de...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548700

Quarterly GDP estimates for the German states

Lehmann, Robert; Wikman, Ida - 2022

To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2020, thereby improving the regional database in Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013173579

Quarterly GDP estimates for the German States : new data for business cycle analyses and long-run dynamics

Lehmann, Robert; Wikman, Ida - 2023

To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2021, thereby improving the regional database for Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549105

Modeling of economic and financial conditions for nowcasting and forecasting recessions: A unified approach

Çakmaklı, Cem; Demircan, Hamza; Altuğ, Sumru - 2019

nowcasting and forecasting business cycle turning points. The results show evidence for the superior predictive power of our …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060224

Using survey information for improving the density nowcasting of US GDP with a focus on predictive performance during Covid-19 pandemic

Çakmaklı, Cem; Demircan, Hamza - 2020

We provide a methodology that efficiently combines the statistical models of nowcasting with the survey information for … improving the (density) nowcasting of US real GDP. Specifically, we use the conventional dynamic factor model together with a … over the baseline model for nowcasting GDP. While the mean survey predictions deliver valuable information during extreme …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628449