Can negative publicity ever increase consumer choice, and if so, when? Three studies, using a combination of econometric analysis and experimental methods, delineate contexts under which negative publicity will have positive versus negative effects. While prior research have shown only downsides...

Several recent surveys ask for a person's subjective probabilities that the in ation rate falls into various outcome ranges. We provide a new measure of the uncertainty implicit in such probabilities. The measure has several advantages over existing methods: It is robust, trivial to implement,...

Several recent surveys ask for a person's subjective probabilities that the inflation rate falls into various outcome ranges. We provide a new measure of the uncertainty implicit in such probabilities. The measure has several advantages over existing methods: It is robust, trivial to implement,...