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We develop a new monthly panel survey of business executives and a new question design that elicits subjective … probability distributions over own-firm outcomes at a one-year lookahead horizon. Our Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) began …
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We administer a newly-designed survey to a large panel of retail investors who have substantial wealth invested in … financial markets. The survey elicits beliefs that are crucial for macroeconomics and finance, and matches respondents with …
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