We investigate whether alternative asset classes should be included in optimal portfolios of the most prominent investor personae in the Behavioral Finance literature, namely, the Cumulative Prospect Theory, the Markowitz and the Loss Averse types of investors. We develop a stochastic spanning...

Valuation-based market timing demonstrates strong potential to improve risk-adjusted returns for conservative long-term investors. Such timing strategies based on the cyclically-adjusted price-earnings ratio provide comparable returns as a 100 percent stocks buy-and-hold strategy but with...

Diversification has been long considered an essential part of investing for the long term. Our paper aims to look further on portfolio diversification and how asset allocation can be optimized. We suggest that the selection of investments in a portfolio should be based on how the market behaves...

This paper identifies a clear tradeoff between tracking error — performance differences relative to a targeted asset allocation — and turnover—a proxy for rebalancing costs — that can help guide investors’ rebalancing choices. We find that calendar-based approaches, while convenient,...

There is heterogeneity in individual forecasts of any variable — inflation, corporate earnings, etc. The standard consensus estimate takes a simple average of individual forecasts, implicitly treating each forecast as a common signal plus noise. If some individuals know more than others, then...

The specification of prior parameters is a common practical problem when implementing Bayesian approaches to portfolio optimization. The precision parameter of the prior on the expected asset returns reflects the confidence of the investor in the prior knowledge. Within the framework of the...

This study contributes new empirical evidence on the profitability of a momentum strategy in the Philippines equity market. The study was conducted over the time period January 2000 to June 2012. We evaluated a momentum strategy based only on past return information as well as a strategy that...

An efficient market should not show any anomalies. When new information reaches a market which is efficient, it should automatically translate into prices of assets, which ought to eliminate the possibility of gaining an advantage over other investors, thus preventing excess profits. However,...

In this study, we contribute to existing literature on momentum strategies by assessing a modified version of risk-return ratio based security selection criterion in an untested market – the KOSPI 200 over June 2006 to June 2012. Besides conventional risk-return ratios such as the Sharpe...