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I propose a turnover-adjusted momentum strategy and argue that it is more profitable and stable compared to the momentum strategy proposed by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993). Stocks are sorted by the moving standard deviation of the product of "share turnover ratio" and "returns without dividends"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995394
We propose a model of volatility tail behavior, in which the pricing measure dominates the physical measure in both tails of the volatility distribution and, hence, the derived pricing kernel exhibits an increasing and decreasing region in the volatility dimension. The model features investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108996
We study asset prices and portfolio choice with overlapping generations, where the young disregard history to learn from own experience. Disregarding history implies less precise estimates of output growth, which in equilibrium leads the young to increase their investment in risky assets after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973608
In this paper we study a simple two-period asset pricing model to understand the implications of uninsurable labor income risk and/or borrowing constraints, limited stock market participation, heterogeneous labor income volatilities, and heterogeneous preferences. We appraise the performance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006842
When the pricing kernel is U-shaped, then expected returns of claims with payout on the upside are negative for strikes beyond a threshold, determined by the slope of the U-shaped kernel in its increasing region, and have negative partial derivative with respect to strike in the increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940716
We provide strong evidence that the dispersion of individual stock options trading volume across moneynesses (IDISP) contains valuable information about future stock returns. Stocks with high IDISP consistently underperform those with low IDISP by more than 1% per month. In line with the idea...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937333
We give an explicit formulaic algorithm and source code for building long-only benchmark portfolios and then using these benchmarks in long-only market outperformance strategies. The benchmarks (or the corresponding betas) do not involve any principal components, nor do they require iterations....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899182
A war-related factor model derived from textual analysis of media news reports explains the cross section of expected asset returns. Using a semi-supervised topic model to extract discourse topics from 7,000,000 New York Times stories spanning 160 years, the war factor predicts the cross section...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322736
We identify model-free mispricing factors and relate them to global stock prices and investor beliefs. The factors measure variation in the relative mispricing of closed-end funds and their underlying assets. We design three factors to reflect the beliefs and capital flows of important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406472
Recent evidence indicates that market model alphas are stronger predictors of mutual fund flows than alphas with other models. Berk and van Binsbergen (2016) claim that this evidence indicates CAPM is the best asset pricing model but Barber, Huang and Odean (2016) (BHO) claim it is evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900390