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This paper analyzes a dynamic stochastic equilibrium model of an asset market based on behavioral and evolutionary principles. The core of the model is a non-traditional game-theoretic framework combining elements of stochastic dynamic games and evolutionary game theory. Its key characteristic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219095
In a complete market for short-lived assets, we investigate long run wealth-driven selection on a general class of investment rules that depend on endogenously determined current and past prices. We find that market instability, leading to asset mis-pricing and informational efficiencies, is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729026
This paper studies the wealth and pricing implications of loss aversion in the presence of arbitrageurs with Epstein-Zin preferences. Loss aversion affects an investor's survival prospects mainly through its effect on the investor's portfolio holdings. Loss-averse investors will be driven out of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008691
We study the co-evolution of asset prices and individual wealth in a financial market populated by an arbitrary number of heterogeneous, boundedly rational agents. Using wealth dynamics as a selection device we are able to characterize the long run market outcomes, i.e. asset returns and wealth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003746066
This note illustrates a simple but important insight for financial investment. In a heterogeneous agent-based evolutionary finance market model with long-lived assets, markets are stable if clients of fundamental ('value') investment funds are more patient than clients of other funds
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899600
A trader's execution strategy has a large effect on his profits. Identifying an optimal strategy, however, is often frustrated by the complexity of market microstructure's. We analyse an order book based continuous double auction market under two different models of trader's behaviour. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056785
Evolutionary finance studies the dynamic interaction of investment strategies in financial markets. This market interaction generates a stochastic wealth dynamics on a heterogenous population of traders through the fluctuation of asset prices and their random payoffs. Asset prices are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961707
This chapter gives an overview of current research in evolutionary finance. We mainly focus on the survival and stability properties of investment strategies associated with the Kelly rule. Our approach to the study of the wealth dynamics of investment strategies is inspired by Darwinian ideas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971097
We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089438
This paper considers a general class of stochastic dynamic choice models with discrete and continuous decision variables. This class contains a variety of models that are useful for modeling intertemporal household decisions under risk. Our examples are drawn from the field of development...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014207021