Anchoring bias (AB) measured at the end of each month by the absolute slope coefficient of a 1-year rolling window regressing relative net purchase ratio on a 52-week high ratio, significantly and negatively predicts 1-months-ahead stock returns both in-sample and out-of-sample. We show...

A risk-neutral probability distribution (RND) for future S&P 500 returns extracted from index options contains investors' true expectations and also their risk preferences. But the empirical pricing kernel that emerges in a representative agent framework, which suppresses investor differences,...