The paper examines the effects of demographic change on federal, state and local governments in Germany with a focus on the expenditure side to answer the question, whether demographic change will induce vertical fiscal expenditure imbalances. We present estimates of the impact of demographic...

Der dringend notwendige Reformierungsbedarf in der sozialen Pflegeversicherung hat in jüngster Zeit verschiedene Reformkonzepte auf den Weg gebracht. Unter anderem auch den einer Bürgerpflegeversicherung, welche die Ausweitung des Umlageverfahrens auf die gesamte Bevölkerung vollzieht. Im...

In this paper we predict the pure demographic effect on medical expenditure of the German Statutory Health Insurance Scheme. To isolate this effect, we assume that the age-specific expenditure for medical treatment as observed in 1991 remains constant over the whole prediction period (1991 until...

This paper analyses the pure demographic effect on medical expenditure and the contribution rate of the German Statutory Health Insurance Scheme. To isolate this effect, we assume that the age-specific expenditure for medical treatment as estimated in 1995 remains constant over the whole...

We explore the impact of the age structure of human capital on average regional productivity by applying a spatial econometric analysis based on an augmented Lucas-type production function. We also apply a new definition of regional human capital focusing on its availability. The estimates...

We analyse the adjustment of public education spending in response to rapidly decreasing student cohorts in East Germany where birth rates collapsed after German reunification. Previous results from the literature based on data from more stable demographic periods suggest that public resources...

Der absehbare demographische Wandel wird in den nächsten Jahrzehnten merkliche Beitragssatzerhöhungen in der Gesetzlichen Krankenversicherung (GKV) erzwingen, wenn das hohe Versorgungsniveau gehalten und wie bisher im Umlageverfahren finanziert werden soll. Können Alterungsrückstellungen die...