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The labor market effect of demographic change : alleviation for financing social security

Friese, Max - 2015

The paper shows the effect of demographic change on per capita burden of financing a PAYG social security system in the standard OLG model with frictional labor markets. Rising longevity and decreasing fertility both induce a rise in the employment level via increased capital accumulation and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471698

Aggregate Labor Force Participation and Unemployment and Demographic Trends

Hornstein, Andreas - 2019

We estimate trends in the labor force participation (LFP) and unemployment rates for demographic groups differentiated by age, gender, and education, using a parsimonious statistical model of age, cohort and cycle effects. Based on the group trends, we construct trends for the aggregate LFP and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891182

Life-cycle search, match quality and Japan's labor flow

Esteban-Pretel, Julen; Fujimoto, Junichi - 2011

The Japanese labor market displays U-shaped unemployment and separation rates, and declining job-finding rates as workers age. Traditional infinite horizon search models of the labor market cannot account for such patterns. We develop a life-cycle search and matching model that features random...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009154531

Unemployment Rates and Population Changes in Spain

Eguia, Begona; Echevarría Olave, Cruz Ángel - 2004

This paper discusses the long run effect of changes in the age distribution of Spanish population on the unemployment rate, disaggregated by sex and age segments in the light of cointegration theory given the non stationarity of the series. Four main results are obtained. First, empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069941

Increased labor market participation can't do the job of mastering Germany's demographic change in the future

Brenke, Karl; Clemens, Marius - In: DIW economic bulletin 7 (2017) 33/35, pp. 325-334

In the last decade the available labor force has expanded in Germany-despite the decline in the working-age population. The reason: labor market participation has increased, for women in particular and older people in general. Also noticeable was a rise in qualification level because...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011717052

Demography and unemployment in East Germany : how close are the ties?

Fuchs, Michaela; Weyh, Antje - 2014

Wir untersuchen den Zusammenhang zwischen der Alterung der Bevölkerung und der Veränderung der Arbeitslosigkeit in … der Bevölkerung auf die Entwicklung der Arbeitslosigkeit bestätigt werden. Demnach steht die seit 2005 sinkende … Arbeitslosigkeit in Zusammenhang mit einem sinkenden Anteil der jüngeren Bevölkerung bzw. einem steigenden Anteil der Älteren. Die …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437782

The future of work : challenges for job creation due to global demographic change and automation

Abeliansky, Ana Lucia; Algur, Eda; Bloom, David E.; … - 2020

We explore future job creation needs under conditions of demographic, economic, and technological change. First, we estimate the implications for job creation in 2020-2030 of population growth, changes in labor force participation, and the achievement of plausible target unemployment rates,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169699

Okun's law under the demographic dynamics of the Turkish labor market

Coşar, Evren Erdoğan; Yavuz, Ayşe Arzu - In: Central Bank review / Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey 21 (2021) 2, pp. 59-69

This study examines the asymmetric relationships between demographic characteristics of labor market variables and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the Turkish economy. Both expansions and recessions are considered in a Markov Switching (MS) model, using quarterly data between 1989 and 2019....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012592026

Unemployment, immigration, and populism

Chen, Shuai - 2023

This paper examines how unemployment and cultural anxiety have triggered different dimensions of the current populism in the United States. Specifically, I exploit the Great Recession (GR) and the 2014 Northern Triangle immigrant influx (IM) to investigate the effects of recent unemployment and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442290

Partisanship and survey refusal

Borgschulte, Mark; Cho, Heepyung; Lubotsky, Darren - 2022

Response rates to important surveys used in social science research have been falling precipitously over the last few decades, raising questions about the representativeness of the resulting data and the quality of evidence that comes from it. We examine how partisan preferences influence...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013264793