Showing 1 - 10 of 2,361
The paper shows the effect of demographic change on per capita burden of financing a PAYG social security system in the standard OLG model with frictional labor markets. Rising longevity and decreasing fertility both induce a rise in the employment level via increased capital accumulation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471698
We estimate trends in the labor force participation (LFP) and unemployment rates for demographic groups differentiated by age, gender, and education, using a parsimonious statistical model of age, cohort and cycle effects. Based on the group trends, we construct trends for the aggregate LFP and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891182
The Japanese labor market displays U-shaped unemployment and separation rates, and declining job-finding rates as workers age. Traditional infinite horizon search models of the labor market cannot account for such patterns. We develop a life-cycle search and matching model that features random...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009154531
This paper discusses the long run effect of changes in the age distribution of Spanish population on the unemployment rate, disaggregated by sex and age segments in the light of cointegration theory given the non stationarity of the series. Four main results are obtained. First, empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069941
In the last decade the available labor force has expanded in Germany-despite the decline in the working-age population. The reason: labor market participation has increased, for women in particular and older people in general. Also noticeable was a rise in qualification level because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011717052
Wir untersuchen den Zusammenhang zwischen der Alterung der Bevölkerung und der Veränderung der Arbeitslosigkeit in … der Bevölkerung auf die Entwicklung der Arbeitslosigkeit bestätigt werden. Demnach steht die seit 2005 sinkende … Arbeitslosigkeit in Zusammenhang mit einem sinkenden Anteil der jüngeren Bevölkerung bzw. einem steigenden Anteil der Älteren. Die …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437782
We explore future job creation needs under conditions of demographic, economic, and technological change. First, we estimate the implications for job creation in 2020-2030 of population growth, changes in labor force participation, and the achievement of plausible target unemployment rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169699
This study examines the asymmetric relationships between demographic characteristics of labor market variables and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the Turkish economy. Both expansions and recessions are considered in a Markov Switching (MS) model, using quarterly data between 1989 and 2019....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012592026
This paper examines how unemployment and cultural anxiety have triggered different dimensions of the current populism in the United States. Specifically, I exploit the Great Recession (GR) and the 2014 Northern Triangle immigrant influx (IM) to investigate the effects of recent unemployment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442290
Response rates to important surveys used in social science research have been falling precipitously over the last few decades, raising questions about the representativeness of the resulting data and the quality of evidence that comes from it. We examine how partisan preferences influence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013264793