Gil, Ricard; Macis, Mario - 2015
The vast majority of the empirical literature on crime has focused on the effects of "supply-side" shocks such as the …. Consistent with the model's predictions (and inconsistent with alternative explanations), we find a 3% decline in crime in DC … during the shutdown period, with the net effect resulting from a 9% decline during the day hours, and a 5% increase in crime …