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Asia is aging, although there is significant heterogeneity across subregions and economies. Population aging poses two strategic challenges for the region: sustaining economic growth and delivering old-age economic security. In this paper, we leverage the lifecycle perspective-that individuals'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329396
Numerous recent empirical studies underscore the adverse impacts of an aging population on economic growth. This could stem from reduced labor force participation and productivity among older workers, or the potential for aging to result in an imbalance between savings and desired investment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014530798
Immigration is a possible instrument for offsetting longer-run adverse effects of population aging on per capita income. Our "laboratory" is a fictional country Alpha to which we assign demographic characteristics typical of a country experiencing population aging. Simulations indicate that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455444
Many economies in East and Southeast Asia are progressing toward becoming aging or aged societies. The impacts of this demographic transition are multifaceted and far-reaching and include declining tax revenues, leading to fiscal imbalances, and possible increases in government expenditures for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012490479
As an economy with a population of 23 million, Taipei,China is enjoying the demographic dividend of economic growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237821
savings and in per capita output growth in China since the mid-1970s. The demographic changes come from reductions in the … China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058934
the tragedy of history's greatest Malthusian stagnation, that of mid-20th century China, Chinese policymakers implemented … draconian population control measures alongside dramatic economic reforms from around 1980. This paper elaborates China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241583
In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China's demographics should … and future policy choices. Other implications arising from China's demography, including the growth model, the pension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082859
This paper takes a global, long-run perspective on the recent debate about secular stagnation, which has so far mainly focused on the short term. The analysis is motivated by observing the interplay between the economic and demographic transition that has occurred in the developed world over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011537253
We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous reductions in fertility on output per capita. Our simulation model allows for effects that run through schooling, the size and age structure of the population, capital accumulation, parental time input into child-rearing, and crowding of fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009299560