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The Case-Shiller is the reference repeat-sales index for the U.S. residential real estate market, yet it is released with a two-month delay. We find that incorporating recent information from 71 financial and macro predictors improves backcasts, now-casts, and short-term forecasts of the index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487889
Machine learning (ML) is a novel method that has applications in asset pricing and that fits well within the problem of measurement in economics. Unlike econometrics, ML models are not designed for parameter estimation and inference, but similar to econometrics, they address, and may be better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013475217
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064442
We study the accuracy and usefulness of automated (i.e., machine-generated) valuations for illiquid and heterogeneous real assets. We assemble a database of 1.1 million paintings auctioned between 2008 and 2015. We use a popular machine-learning technique - neural networks - to develop a pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115356
There exists significant hype regarding how much machine learning and incorporating social media data can improve forecast accuracy in commercial applications. To assess if the hype is warranted, we use data from the film industry in simulation experiments that contrast econometric approaches...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431091
Predictive power has always been the main research focus of learning algorithms with the goal of minimizing the test error for supervised classification and regression problems. While the general approach for these algorithms is to consider all possible attributes in a dataset to best predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270791
There exists significant hype regarding how much machine learning and incorporating social media data can improve forecast accuracy in commercial applications. To assess if the hype is warranted, we use data from the film industry in simulation experiments that contrast econometric approaches...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012395580
Poverty statistics are conventionally compiled using data from household income and expenditure survey or living standards survey. This study examines an alternative approach in estimating poverty by investigating whether readily available geospatial data can accurately predict the spatial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012403931
The spatial granularity of poverty statistics can have a significant impact on the efficiency of targeting resources meant to improve the living conditions of the poor. However, achieving granularity typically requires increasing the sample sizes of surveys on household income and expenditure or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012403950
Each downtown commercial district has a different degree of mixed land use. Some commercial areas are a huge cluster with monotonous retail use, while others consists of a wide variety of land uses including residential or office uses as well. Locational factors such as proximity to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014259960