We systematically examine the comparative predictive performance of a number of alternative linear and non-linear models for stock and bond returns in the G7 countries. Besides Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) regime switching...

The fact that REIT returns display rich dynamic time series properties, such as conditional heteroskedasticity and time-varying risk premia, has recently come to the forefront of the real estate finance literature. In this paper we document the presence of Markov switching regimes in expected...

The fact that REIT returns display rich dynamic time series properties, such as conditional heteroskedasticity and time-varying risk premia, has recently come to the forefront of the real estate finance literature. In this paper we document the presence of Markov switching regimes in expected...

We use a recently developed right-tail variation of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test to identify and date-stamp periods of mildly explosive behavior in the weekly time series of seven U.S. fixed income yield spreads between September 2002 and January 2015. We find statistically...

We investigate whether it is possible to find a Stochastic Discount Factor (SDF) that jointly prices the cross-section of eight U.S. portfolios of stocks, Treasuries, corporate bonds, and commodities and replicates their observed moments, and especially correlations. We use the first three...