This paper examines the behaviour of stock and bond markets across four major international countries. The results confirm the view that same asset-cross country return correlations and spillovers increase over time. However, the same in not true with variance and covariance behaviour....

In a world of interconnected financial markets it is plausible that risk appetite — an important factor in asset pricing — is determined globally. By constructing an estimate of variance risk premia (VRP) for UK, US and euro-area equity markets, we are able to estimate international variance...

We reaffirm the stylized fact that bond risk premia are time-varying with macroeconomic condition, even with real-time macro data instead of commonly used final revised data. While real-time data are noisier and render standard forecasts insignificant, we find that, with four efficient...

This paper analyses the possible effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the degree of persistence of US monthly stock prices and bond yields using fractional integration techniques. The model is estimated first over the period January 1966-December 2020 and then a recursive approach is taken to...

This paper provides empirical evidence on predictable shifts in the degree of bond return predictability. Bond returns are predictable in high (low) economic activity (uncertainty) states, which suggests that the expectations hypothesis of the term structure holds periodically. These...

This paper studies the empirically relevant problem of estimation and inference in diffusion index forecasting models with structural instability. Factor model and factor augmented regression both experience a structural change with different unknown break dates. In the factor model, we estimate...

Historically, cat bonds have provided high single-digit average annual returns, paired with a low volatility and little correlation to other asset classes. While there is an extensive literature that explains (ex-ante) cat bonds spreads, there is no factor model in the academic literature that...

Most catastrophe bonds issued in the primary market are sold by the same issuers every year, and within each year. Significant similarities in the bond characteristics are therefore anticipated, which ultimately leads to similarities in pricing for these bond issuers over time. In this paper,...

This study proposes two rational models to reconcile the enigma regarding the inconsistent bond pricing that results among bonds with the same ratings. First, we apply a nonlinear utility function to the expected utility theory and observe different expected utilities for senior bonds and...

This paper explores the time variation in the stock-bond correlation using high-frequency data. Gradual transitions between regimes of negative and positive stock-bond correlation are well accommodated by the smooth transition regression (STR) model. We find that the regimes are systematically...