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rationality ; Keynes ; Knight …One of Keynes' core issues in his liquidity preference theory is how fundamental uncertainty affects the propensity to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003886826
rationality ; Keynes; Knight …One of Keynes’ core issues in his liquidity preference theory is how fundamental uncertainty affects the propensity to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003905066
We propose a heuristic switching model of an asset market where the agents' choice of heuristic is consistent with their individual risk aversion. They choose between a fundamentalist and a trend-following rule to form expectations about the price of a risky asset. Given their risk aversion,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157926
We explore a satisficing approach (Simon, 1955) to measure risk preference, which suggests cognitive limitations to decision making. In an experiment, subjects invest in a portfolio that contains a risk-free bond and a risky asset which has high or low return states with equal probability. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075886
This paper provides a new life cycle model that takes into account key elements of bounded rationality. The paper shows that the model can account for patterns in the data that are hard to explain by the standard life cycle model. Among other patterns, the model predicts that, typically, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573230
In this paper, a model of bounded rational investors investing their portfolio in a passive investment vehicle (e.g., an Exchange Traded Fund replicating a broad index) or an actively managed fund is presented. The model proposes that the quick reswitching of these short-term oriented investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521601
This paper provides an overview of the work of Gigerenzer, thereby focusing on his criticisms of the Heuristics and Biases theory of Kahneman and Tversky. It is proposed that Gigerenzer's work can be both thematically and chronologically organized as: historical research on statistics =...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325415
During the last three decades the ascent of behavioral economics clearly helped to bring down artificial disciplinary boundaries between psychology and economics. Noting that behavioral economics seems still under the spell of the rational choice tradition and, indirectly, of behaviorism we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266656
During the last three decades the ascent of behavioral economics clearly helped to bring down artificial disciplinary boundaries between psychology and economics. Noting that behavioral economics seems still under the spell of the rational choice tradition and, indirectly, of behaviorism we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003809939
This paper provides an overview of the work of Gigerenzer, thereby focusing on his criticisms of the Heuristics and Biases theory of Kahneman and Tversky. It is proposed that Gigerenzer's work can be both thematically and chronologically organized as: historical research on statistics =...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348361