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No, they are not; at least not in the UK. By examining GDP dynamics we find that, over a time-span of two decades, an easy-to-perform adaptive expectations model systematically outperforms other standard predictors in terms of squared forecasting errors. This should reduce model uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608454
We introduce bounded rationality, along the lines of Gabaix (2020), in a canonical New Keynesian model calibrated to match Canadian macroeconomic data since Canada's adoption of inflation targeting. We use the model to provide a quantitative assessment of the macroeconomic impact of flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161512
This paper presents a small-scale agent-based extension of the so-called neo-Kaleckian model. The aim is to investigate the emergence of Harrodian instability in decentralized market economies. We introduce a parsimonious microfoundation of investment decisions. Agents have heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689366
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discounting of money has been questioned as a measure of time preferences, it continues to be highly relevant in empirical …. We provide evidence that hyperbolic discounting reflects mistakes that are driven by the complexity of evaluating delayed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447758
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In this paper we investigate the risk-related effects of monetary policy both in normal times, as well as in periods where the zero lower bound (ZLB) binds, in a stylized macroeconomic model with boundedly rational beliefs. In our model, financial market participants use heuristics to assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988688
contribute to our understanding of these issues by postulating a model of income uncertainty within a hyperbolic discounting …/value In traditional exponential discounting, the marginal rate of substitution of consumption between two points depends only …, hyperbolic discounting better fits the data. The authors model choice under uncertainty and focus on the costs caused when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012128806