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We introduce bounded rationality, along the lines of Gabaix (2020), in a canonical New Keynesian model calibrated to match Canadian macroeconomic data since Canada's adoption of inflation targeting. We use the model to provide a quantitative assessment of the macroeconomic impact of flexible...
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No, they are not; at least not in the UK. By examining GDP dynamics we find that, over a time-span of two decades, an easy-to-perform adaptive expectations model systematically outperforms other standard predictors in terms of squared forecasting errors. This should reduce model uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608454
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discounting of money has been questioned as a measure of time preferences, it continues to be highly relevant in empirical …. We provide evidence that hyperbolic discounting reflects mistakes that are driven by the complexity of evaluating delayed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447758
discounting, or myopia: they discount variables far into the future at higher rates than typically implied in the benchmark model … minimal estimated degrees of myopia. The results indicate that the empirical evidence for cognitive discounting may be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012509319
contribute to our understanding of these issues by postulating a model of income uncertainty within a hyperbolic discounting …/value In traditional exponential discounting, the marginal rate of substitution of consumption between two points depends only …, hyperbolic discounting better fits the data. The authors model choice under uncertainty and focus on the costs caused when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012128806
Consider a game where Alice generates an integer and Bob wins if he can factor that integer. Traditional game theory tells us that Bob will always win this game even though in practice Alice will win given our usual assumptions about the hardness of factoring. We define a new notion of bounded...
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