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This paper investigates the main sources of instability in Brazil during the currency and financial distress episode of 2002. We test for financial contagion from the Argentine crisis and the impact of factors including IMF intervention and political uncertainty in raising the probability of...
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This article aims at identifying the indicators of the Brazilian real crisis through building a probit model incorporating 20 monthly macroeconomic, political, and financial sector indicators from 1980:1 – 1999:1. Results indicate that the significant variables are inflation (1-month lag),...
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Those who have watched financial crises in emerging economies over the past two years would have noticed two things. First, there has been a high concentration of financial crises in Latin America. Second, debt problems have been at the heart of several recent crises, including the prominent...
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male workers in Brazil and Mexico. Our analysis takes into account demographic, educational, and economic variations within … each country over time, using Demographic Censuses microdata from Brazil and Mexico. Results suggest that demographic and … countries. Moreover, in Brazil and Mexico, these effects are observed throughout the income distribution, contrary to what is …
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