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This paper provides an outlook for the Indian economy in the light of the extraordinary global financial crisis, that started in the US, but which has now transformed into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Indian economy was slowing down even before the onset of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807640
Despite signs of recovery from the global financial crisis, the GDP growth rate for the Indian economy is likely to be between 5.8 to 6.1 per cent in 2009-10, below the 6.7 per cent recorded in fiscal 2008-09. While there has been an improvement in Indian industry, particularly the manufacturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807647
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237
of policy measures to get the Indian economy back on the path of sustained rapid and inclusive growth. -- Forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003817276
of the historical forecasting track record, but distinguish between a "safe" regime and a "downturn-risk" regime. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823611
capital account surplus because of the appreciation of the rupee. -- Forecasting Indian Economic Growth ; Economic Outlook and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003899434
made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
This paper attempts to develop a financial vulnerability indicator for China as a barometer for the state of financial vulnerability in the Chinese financial market, possibly for real-time application. Twelve variables from different sectors are utilised to extract a common vulnerability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012505627
The U.S. Subprime Crisis and the subsequent Great Recession have highlighted a renewed interest in the proper design and implementation of Early Warning Systems (E.W.S.), in order to help deter the onset of subsequent extreme financial events, through the implementation of adequate crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347094
During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265233