In this paper we study 2-state Markov switching VAR models of monthly unemployment and inflation for three countries …: Sweden, United Kingdom, and the United States. The primary purpose is to examine if periods of low inflation are associated … variance in unemployment. In the U.S. case we find that the variance of unemployment is lower in the low inflation regime than …

long-run interest rates with corresponding inflation rates. Traditional cointegration implies perfect mean reversion in …Using data from Germany, Japan, UK, and the U.S., we explore possible threshold cointegration in nominal short- and … real rates and hence confirms the Fisher hypothesis. Threshold cointegration accounts for the possibility that this mean …

The low rate of inflation observed in the U.S. over the entire past decade is hard to reconcile with traditional … the job explains this missing inflation. We derive this novel concept of slack from a model in which a drop in the on …

Regarding inflation as being a monetary phenomenon in the long-run is a widely-held view in modern macro economics. We … analyse this topic by means of a P-star model. Based on the quantity theory of money, this approach explains inflation via a …-specific models for 110 economies, and also a pooled system thereof. We test for cointegration among money, prices, and real output …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …

and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in … the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects output variability positively, while output variability has a negative … effect on inflation uncertainty. …

framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …