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The US economy was poised on the edge of a recession even before 11 September. Following the attacks, the immediate financial shocks were contained. But, despite plans by the Bush government to provide a large boost to the economy, because of massive overinvestment and overborrowing, a serious...
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Within EUSECON, one research subproject investigates the relationship between economic downturns, terrorism and electoral outcomes. The analysis is carried out using data from Spain. Recent Spanish democratic history has witnessed four complete economic cycles, with deep recessions and...
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We present a monthly indicator of geopolitical risk based on a tally of newspaper articles covering geopolitical tensions, and examine its evolution and effects since 1985. The geopolitical risk (GPR) index spikes around the Gulf War, after 9/11, during the 2003 Iraq invasion, during the 2014...
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