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growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the … recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time data vintages of the index of industrial production in Russia we …
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Preliminary data on Russia's economic results of 2015, as well as the current trends in the global energy market, give … grounds for revising down possible scenarios for Russia's economy in 2016-2017. For instance, a scenario of yearly average oil … prices staying at $35 a barrel in 2016 is now the baseline scenario, whereas $50 a barrel is considered optimistic (Russia …
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The economic recovery in CESEE has strengthened further in recent months, resulting in a number of additional upgrades to our growth forecasts for 2021, to 5.4% on the regional average. This good performance has been built on two important foundation stones: the adaptation of the CESEE economies...
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Die Wirtschafts- und Finanzkrise wirkt wie ein externer Schock auf die deutsche Konjunktur.Mit zwei makroökonomischen Simulationsmodellen weisen die Autoren nach, dass die Krise in Deutschland allein auf diesen Schock zurückzuführen ist. Die Exportabhängigkeit der Wirtschaft führt dazu,...
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