This paper studies fiscal foresight -- alterations of current behavior by forward-looking agents in anticipation of future policy changes – using variation in state job creation tax credits (JCTCs). Nearly half of the U.S. states enacted JCTCs between 1990 and 2007, and their unique...

This paper studies fiscal foresight – alterations of current behavior by forwardlooking agents in anticipation of future policy changes – using variation in state job creation tax credits (JCTCs).Nearly half of the U.S. states enacted JCTCs between 1990 and 2007, and their unique experiences...

We examine the evidence on episodes of large stances in fiscal policy, both in cases of fiscal stimuli and in that of fiscal adjustments in OECD countries from 1970 to 2007. Fiscal stimuli based upon tax cuts are more likely to increase growth than those based upon spending increases. As for...