Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …

temporary employment to unemployment, were the main factor behind rising unemployment. Reduced unemployment outflows did not … contribute substantially to the increase in unemployment during the early phase of the crisis. …

This paper assesses the impact the Great Recession had on individuals' transitions to and from unemployment in Ireland …. The rate of transition from unemployment to employment declined between 2006 and 2011, while the rate from employment to … unemployment increased. The results indicate that young people are much less likely to exit unemployment but, at the same time …

temporary employment to unemployment, were the main factor behind the rise in unemployment; while reduced unemployment outflows … did not contribute substantially to the increase in unemployment during the early phase of the crisis. …