Showing 1 - 10 of 13,987
This paper identifies a precautionary banking liquidity shock via a set of sign, zero and forecast variance … restrictions imposed. The shock proxies the reluctance of the banking sector to "lend" to the real economy induced by an exogenous … change in financial intermediaries' preference for "high" liquid assets. The identified shock has sizeable and state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483779
find that (i) the US economy is well described by a number of structural shocks between two and five. Focusing on the four-shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626760
Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … volatility effects of the shock are driven by agents' concern about the (in)ability of the monetary authority to reverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about 15%. Using a New Keynesian model, with search and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928806
Structural innovations in multivariate dynamic systems are typically hidden and often identified by means of a-priori economic reasoning. Under multivariate Gaussian model innovations there is no loss measure available to distinguish alternative orderings of variables or, put differently,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010355109
-lasting effects on output and total factor productivity (TFP). In this paper, I argue that the typical monetary shock has been … confounded with the news shock about future technology. I propose and implement a novel SVAR approach that effectively ``cleans …'' the technology component from the traditional Cholesky monetary shock. With the new identification, I find that a monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891083
the pre-1980 period. Measuring expectations of future monetary policy rates conditional on a news shock suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990092
In this paper, we examine the role of global and domestic credit supply shocks in macroeconomic fluctuations for Emerging Markets. For this purpose, we impose a set of zero and sign restrictions within a medium-scale Bayesian Vector Auto-Regressive model. Quarterly data from South Africa and G-7...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754529
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
This paper investigates within a SVAR framework the effects of anticipated monetary policy in the euro area. Building on a procedure recently proposed by Cochrane yielding the response of output to an anticipated monetary policy impulse, we show that in the past twenty years anticipated monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538850