1. Introduction -- 2. The slowdown and real interest rates -- 3. The slowdown and asset prices -- 4. The slowdown and the share of profits -- 5. The slowdown in the data -- 6. Losing ground to China and other countries -- 7. The pandemic and its aftermath -- 8. Growth to the Rescue.

A dynamic factor model is applied to a large panel dataset of Singapore’s macroeconomic variables and global economic indicators with the initial objective of analyzing business cycles in a small open economy. The empirical results suggest that four common factors are present in the quarterly...

While macroeconomic variables have been used extensively to forecast the U.S. equity risk premium and build models to explain it, relatively little attention has been paid to the technical stock market indicators widely employed by practitioners. Our paper fills this gap by studying the...