This paper examines changes of the (West) German business cycle from 1958 to 2004. It starts with a multivariate linear discriminant analysis (LDA) based decomposition of the cycle into 4 phases (upswing, upper turning point, downswing, lower turning point). After examining intercyclical changes...

A non-linear model utilising the sine function is proposed as an appropriate model of economic growth over time and is used to examine the link between volatility and economic growth. The most appropriate functional relationship is found by using non-linear generalised least square estimation on...

The opportunity cost approach suggesting a countervailing cyclical effect between R&D and short-term investments is the subject of theoretical and empirical debate. The lack of firm-level panel data on R&D and ambiguous indicators for demand fluctuations has hindered empirical testing of...

The European post-communist countries that have integrated into the European Union are emerging market economies. However, their short-run economic performance does not correspond to the observed business cycles of other global emerging markets. The business cycles of the studied countries are...

This paper investigates the time-varying correlation between the EU12-wide business cycle and the initial EU12 member-countries based on Scalar-BEKK and multivariate Riskmetrics model frameworks for the period 1980-2012. The paper provides evidence that changes in the business cycle...

This note discusses the external environment, economic outlook, and key policy challenges for the six South East European Countries (SEE6) — Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH), Kosovo, the former Yugoslav Republic (FYR) of Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia — as they seek to reignite...

The passage of Russia's “Great Recession” provides an opportunity for academics and policy makers to reflect on policy lessons that could help policy makers deal with future crises, including how to handle the triple challenges — fiscal, financial, and social — in the aftermath of the...

This study analyzes the short run issues of fiscal policy implementation in the Euro Area and the effectiveness of debt expansion in member economies. The research indicates that both developing economies and those with high levels of accumulated debt face trouble with the expansion and...

Using a large firm level dataset, that covers 18 European countries in the 2006-2014 period, I develop an empirical approach in the spirit of Rajan and Zingales (1998) in order to study whether and to what extent the credit cycle influences the efficient allocation of resources across firms. I...