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regime during a deceleration in economic activity and with headline and core inflation remaining well below the FOMC's 2 … percent inflation target. Moreover, both short- and long-term inflation expectations were drifting lower. These developments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216728
inflation is inertial. Microeconomic data indicate that firms change prices frequently. We formulate and estimate a model which … resolves this apparent micro - macro conflict. Our model is consistent with post-war U.S. evidence on inflation inertia even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721840
substantial fraction of the cyclical variation in output and is consistent with the observed inertia in inflation. This is true …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197143
that the real burden of this debt cannot be reduced significantly by inflation because the bulk of it is held by government … agencies, is adjusted for inflation or is short-term. Inflation offers politicians low returns and high costs. The paper also … the inflation technically, questions arise over its willingness to use the proper policies in time, given Congressional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129201
side and inflation and real output on the other has mostly disappeared since the early 1980s. Using the direct estimate of … valuable information about future movements of U.S. inflation and real output. Statistical evidence suggests that the Friedman …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133240
recursive interaction with inflation as integral to it. This treatment underlay both his 1920s work on the business cycle as a … deployment of his analysis of expected inflation on nominal interest rates, and, indirectly, in its espousal of the case for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367470
We have studied the comparative performance of a number of interest rate spreads as predictors of the German inflation … three of the interest rate differentials also foreshadowed the long swings in the German inflation rate remarkably well with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014195920
and inflation, as outlined in the classical study by M. Friedman and Schwartz, mostly disappeared since the early 1980s … information about future movements of US real output and inflation. Statistical evidence here provided thus suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123689
side and inflation and real output on the other has mostly disappeared since the early 1980s. Using the direct estimate of … information about future movements of U.S. inflation and real output. Statistical evidence suggests that the Friedman …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050819
This paper examines five possible explanations for the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009, using data for the United States and the eurozone. Of these five hypotheses, four are not supported by the data, while the fifth appears reasonable.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010419411