Not only the level of aggregate unemployment but also the properties of its dynamics are an important topic in … asymmetric pattern in the evolution of unemployment, whereas linear models with Gaussian innovations preclude such dynamics. This … paper applies several tests for asymmetry to aggregate British, German and US unemployment data to assess the relevance of …

Diamond (1994) that an individual's probability of leaving unemployment decreases with unemployment duration and increases …

This study examines individuals' unemployment experiences from the age of 18 up to the age of 35 using a large panel of … administrative records on unemployment related benefit claims of men in the United Kingdom over the past two decades. The main focus … is on the extent to which individuals' unemployment experiences are affected by regional and skill differences, i …

its successor Understanding Society. We find that the unemployment rate on leaving full-time education has large impacts …

Diamond (1994) that an individual's probability of leaving unemployment decreases with unemployment duration and increases …

The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as "chain reactions" of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of interacting … aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting how long …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country fixed effects are added to panel … estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries - Austria; Belgium … predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months in advance based on individuals' fears of unemployment, their perceptions …

variables while it is uncorrelated with life satisfaction. The unemployment rate and the CPI reduce both. We analyze data for 29 … micro data from 1973-2023 on movements in life satisfaction along with data from 1995-2022 on five expectations variables on … European countries to predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead using individuals' fears of unemployment in the …

not the case. Although unemployment is low, the labor market is not 'tight'. On the contrary, we show that what matters …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …