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This paper shows how uninsurable unemployment risk is crucial to qualitatively and quantitatively match macro responses … to uncertainty shocks. Empirically, uncertainty shocks i) generate deflationary pressure; ii) have considerably negative … jointly attain these results. Uncertainty shocks induce households' precautionary saving and firms' precautionary pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296809
labor market and examines the implications of joint household decision-making for cyclical fluctuations in the unemployment …, and find that joint household decision-making contributes to the counter-cyclicality of women’s unemployment rate, but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900736
volatility of vacancies and unemployment. This channel can be relevant if the lack of insurance is large enough so that the … earnings variance and persistence in the unemployment state that result in a large degree of self-insurance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012709508
In this paper, I show that the decline in household consumption during unemployment spells depends on both liquid and … illiquid asset positions. I also provide evidence that unemployment spells predict the withdrawal of illiquid assets …, particularly when households have few liquid assets. Motivated by these findings, I embed endogenous unemployment risk in a two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352249
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001613894
In this paper we use Norwegian tax data and a novel natural experiment to isolate the impact of job loss risk on saving behavior. We find that a one percentage point increase in job loss risk increases liquid savings by roughly 1.2 - 2.0 percent. Further, we show that employment falls in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214377
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788865
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher-order risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household data from the United States. We find countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833986
We investigate cyclicality of variance and skewness of household labor income risk using PSID data. There are five main findings. First, we find that head's labor income exhibits countercyclical variance and procyclical skewness. Second, the cyclicality of hourly wages is muted, suggesting that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865260
We investigate cyclicality of variance and skewness of household labor income risk using PSID data. There are five main findings. First, we find that head's labor income exhibits countercyclical variance and procyclical skewness. Second, the cyclicality of hourly wages is muted, suggesting that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860550