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Using a multi-industry real business cycle model, we empirically examine the microeconomic origins of aggregate tail risks. Our model, estimated using industry-level data from 1972 to 2016, indicates that industry-specific shocks account for most of the third and fourth moments of GDP growth
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Since the publication of Keynes' "General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money" in 1936 many new ideas and … combine elements of the Real Business Cycle literature such as rational expectations, microfoundations, and the concept of the …
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