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Income Versus Prices : How Does the Business Cycle Affect Food (In)-Security?
Bogmans, Christian; Pescatori, Andreas; Prifti, Ervin - 2022
macroeconomic determinants of food insecurity. Income shocks are the most relevant driver of food insecurity, displaying high … elasticities at the early stages of economic development. The role of food price shocks is more limited. Social protection has a … direct effect and mitigates the impact of income shocks. Effects are highly heterogeneous across a range of structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306746
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Long-Run Trends or Short-Run Fluctuations – What Establishes the Correlation between Oil and Food Prices?
Krätschell, Karoline - 2012
In this paper we use the frequency domain Granger causality test of Breitung/Candelon (2006) to analyse short and long-run causality between energy prices and prices of food commodities. We find that the oil price Granger causes all the considered food prices. However, when controlling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102705
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Long-run trends or short-run fluctuations : what establishes the correlation between oil and food prices? ; conference paper
Krätschell, Karoline; Schmidt, Torsten - 2013 - This version: July, 2012
In this paper we use the frequency domain Granger causality test of Breitung/Candelon (2006) to analyse short and long-run causality between energy prices and prices of food commodities. We find that the oil price Granger causes all the considered food prices. However, when controlling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341671
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Long-run trends or short-run fluctuations : what establishes the correlation between oil and food prices?
Krätschell, Karoline; Schmidt, Torsten - 2012
In this paper we use the frequency domain Granger causality test of Breitung/Candelon (2006) to analyse short- and long-run causality between energy prices and prices of food commodities. We find that the oil price Granger causes all the considered food prices. However, when controlling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580087
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The changing drivers of food inflation - macroeconomics, inflation, and war
Algieri, Bernardina; Kornher, Lukas; Braun, Joachim von - 2024
The inflation surge in recent years is having profound social, economic, and political consequences. With food price changes being an integral part of inflation, low income segments of the population are strongly impacted. What makes this period so unusual is the breadth of price pressures that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014518582
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If the United States sneezes, does the world need “pain-killers”?
Herrerias, M.J.; Ordóñez, J. - In: International Review of Economics & Finance 31 (2014) C, pp. 159-170
In this paper we analyze the extent to which the US economy affects international business fluctuations across countries and we ask whether the nonlinear nature of the business cycle affects the degree of co-movement between countries. A multivariate nonlinear LSTAR model is estimated for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048282
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Currency Union, Free-Trade Areas, and Business Cycle Synchronization
De Pace, Pierangelo - 2011
Since the 1970s the characteristics of international business cycles have changed and deeper economic integration has modified the features of cross-country comovement. We formally test for correlation shifts in measures of real economic activity and economic/financial integration. In Europe we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714048
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Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices
McDermott, C. John; Cashin, Paul Anthony; Scott, Alasdair - 2005
This paper examines the duration and magnitude of cycles in commodity prices. We find that for the majority of commodities, price slumps last longer than price booms. How far prices fall in a slump is found to be slightly larger than how far they tend to rebound in a subsequent boom. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112612
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Agricultural Price Shocks and Business Cycles - A Global Warning for Advanced Economies
De Winne, Jasmien - 2018
unfavorable harvest shocks in other regions of the world significantly curtail domestic economic activity. The effects are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915574
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Agricultural price shocks and business cycles a global warning for advanced economies
De Winne, Jasmien; Peersman, Gert - 2018
unfavorable harvest shocks in other regions of the world significantly curtail domestic economic activity. The effects are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846251