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We investigate the effects of countercyclical prudential buffers on bank risk-taking. We exploit the introduction of dynamic loan loss provisioning in Spain, mandating that banks use historical average loss rates in their estimation of loan loss provisions. We find that dynamic loan loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857307
IFRS 9 substantially affects the financial sector by changing the impairment methodology for credit losses. This paper analyzes the implications of the change from IAS 39 to IFRS 9 in the context of bank resilience. We shed light on two effects. First, the "cliff-effect", which refers to sudden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230334
empirical analyses. We first apply the lasso method to select accounting fundamentals that can be combined into P(R|F) estimates …. We then use the obtained estimates in asset-pricing tests. This approach successfully extracts systematic risk … information from accounting data—we document a significant positive premium associated with P(R|F) estimates. The premium covaries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524470
Several studies have addressed, with conflicting results, the issue of procyclical effects of loan loss provisions in the past. More recently, the weak performance of incurred loss models in the financial crisis has given rise to a new debate on the sound design of credit risk provisioning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465580
This study examines the effects of the economic cycle on the properties of management earnings forecasts. Using management forecast data from First Call and the NBER business cycle measure, we document that economic recession is positively associated with forecast frequency and forecast error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073585
improve the informativeness of loan loss provisions estimates among African banks. Three, the evidence for procyclical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960199
I provide evidence that loan loss accounting affects procyclical lending through its impact on regulatory actions. Regulators are more likely to place banks with inadequate loan loss allowances under enforcement actions that restrict lending, leading these banks to lend less during downturns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903184
Being able to separate temporary global macroeconomic influences – caused by fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates and inflation – from intrinsic performance – related to a superior product, production process or management – is crucial to assessing the development of a firm's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906895
We examine the determinants of the use of loan loss provisions to smooth income by banks in South Africa. More specifically, we examine the influence of ownership, IFRS disclosure rules and economic fluctuation on the income smoothing behaviour of South African banks while controlling for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898274
Accounting rules mandate that the cost of debt should be recorded as an expense, while the cost of equity does not appear in the income statement. Therefore, the amount of financing expense, and thus net income, in the income statements depends on how firms finance their business. Based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935127