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precautionary saving is strong enough, a rise in uncertainty leads to i) a drop in inflation; ii) amplified negative responses of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296809
A regime shift towards increased inflation expectations is credited with jumpstarting the recovery from the Great … Depression in the United States. Germany experienced a recovery as fast and strong in the 1930s. What role did inflation … expectations play at the start of this remarkable economic upturn? To answer this question, we study inflation expectations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159651
and inflation. Simultaneous monetary policy and macroprudential policy shocks do not alter the reaction of inflation … die Auswirkungen von monetären Schocks auf die Volatilität der Finanzvariablen, nicht aber der Produktion und Inflation …. Gleichzeitige geldpolitische und makroprudenzielle Schocks verändern die Reaktion der Inflation im Vergleich zu einem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014631259
linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … properties of interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088861
In this paper we set up a baseline, but nevertheless advanced and complete model representing detailed goods market dynamics, heterogeneous labor markets, dual and cross-dual wage-price adjustment processes, as well as counter-cyclical government policies. The cyclical movements of output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746983
The paper introduces a portfolio-based Keynesian dynamic stochastic general disequilibrium model. It is an endogenous phase-switching macroeconomic model of risky investment where the rational expectation is applied in the financial market with three financial instruments of stocks, credits, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839941
relation of inflation and productivity with unemployment at low frequencies. Long-run unemployment is negatively correlated … with the levels of inflation and productivity growth, and positively with their volatilities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952658
Empirical evidence demonstrates that credit standards, including lending margins and collateral requirements, move in a countercyclical direction. In this study, we construct a small open economy model with financial frictions to generate the countercyclical movement in credit standards. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800343
A series of recent reviews of the depression of 1920-21 by Austrian School and libertarian economists have argued that the downturn demonstrates the poverty of Keynesian policy recommendations. However, these writers misrepresent important characteristics of the 1920-21 downturn, understating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144724
relation of inflation and productivity with unemployment at low frequencies. Long-run unemployment is negatively correlated … with the levels of inflation and productivity growth, and positively with their volatilities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981014