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precautionary saving is strong enough, a rise in uncertainty leads to i) a drop in inflation; ii) amplified negative responses of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296809
A regime shift towards increased inflation expectations is credited with jumpstarting the recovery from the Great … Depression in the United States. Germany experienced a recovery as fast and strong in the 1930s. What role did inflation … expectations play at the start of this remarkable economic upturn? To answer this question, we study inflation expectations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159651
and inflation. Simultaneous monetary policy and macroprudential policy shocks do not alter the reaction of inflation … die Auswirkungen von monetären Schocks auf die Volatilität der Finanzvariablen, nicht aber der Produktion und Inflation …. Gleichzeitige geldpolitische und makroprudenzielle Schocks verändern die Reaktion der Inflation im Vergleich zu einem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014631259
increase in inflation in the US and elsewhere. Much has been made of this outcomes, and the economic distress associated with … it, in popular discussion of the economy. This paper provides a Kaleckian conflicting-claims analysis of inflation during …-setting behaviour as sources of inflationary pressure. A key conclusion that arises from the co-determination of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243552
and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country's actual short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317182
linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … properties of interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088861
In this paper, we look for the relevance of chaos in the well-known Hicks-Samuelson's oscillator model investigating the endogenous fluctuations of the national income between two limits: full employment income and under-employment income. We compute the Lyapunov exponent, via Monte-Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012623438
relation of inflation and productivity with unemployment at low frequencies. Long-run unemployment is negatively correlated … with the levels of inflation and productivity growth, and positively with their volatilities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952658
relation of inflation and productivity with unemployment at low frequencies. Long-run unemployment is negatively correlated … with the levels of inflation and productivity growth, and positively with their volatilities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981014
Barsky and Sims (2012, AER) demonstrated, via indirect inference, that confidence innovations can be viewed as noisy signals about medium-term economic growth. They highlighted that the connection between confidence and subsequent activity, such as consumption and output, is primarily driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355207