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We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705247
We ask two questions related to how access to credit affects the nature of business cycles. First, does the standard theory of unsecured credit account for the high volatility and procyclicality of credit and the high volatility and countercyclicality of bankruptcy filings found in U.S. data?...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010941009
We document the cyclical properties of unsecured consumer credit (procyclical and volatile) and of consumer bankruptcies (countercyclical and very volatile). Using a growth model with household heterogeneity in earnings and assets with access to unsecured credit (because of bankruptcy costs) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197797
rate sufficiently compensates banks for the borrowers' default risk. Firms denied credit cut employment and labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011937296
European supervisors aggressively requested more capital at large banks. That may cut credit to the economy. We confirm that especially larger banks cut loans while less-significant banks partly offset that credit drop. Moreover, we identify nasty spillovers from that interaction. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012507218
regulation does not needlessly constrain banks' supply of credit. In the model in this paper, banks are rationally forward …-consistent capital regulation requires that bank capital is rebuilt gradually during financial crises. In particular, banks must be able …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456622
In this study I review the main scientific contributions of Minsky and other scholars to the financial instability and crisis issues, and the role of institutions in modeling the medium and long financial and business waves. The topics developed in this paper are the following: the relationships...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349649
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641178
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667253
default rate and loss given default of bank loans share a cyclical component, related to the business cycle. We infer this … cycle by a new model that distinguishes loans with large and small losses, and links them to the default rate and macro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515860