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estimate youth unemployment rate sensitivity to output deviations from its potential level. Additionally, we aim to compare … whether men or women have a higher equilibrium unemployment rate when output is at the potential level. Contrary to most … studies on age- and gender-specific Okun’s coefficients, which assume that the effect of output on unemployment is homogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132298
with a SVAR model by inspecting how unemployment responds to the state of the economy. We show that deviations from Okun …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332832
We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing additional insights on both first and higher moments of the GDP growth distribution. If a recession is due to an unforeseen shock (such as the Covid-19 recession), financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829414
In this paper, we assess several methods that have been used to measure the Canadian trend unemployment rate (TUR). We … extent to which methods provide explanations for changes in trend unemployment; (ii) whether revisions to unemployment gap … (UGAP, the difference between the actual unemployment rate and TUR) estimates are well behaved; (iii) if UGAPs provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992476
unemployment rate in Australia. Okun's law also implies a rate of output growth consistent with stable unemployment, called the … growth of potential output. Our estimates of potential output growth are imprecise and fluctuate over time. A recent estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014035504
Almost all institutions – employment protection legislation, unions, wages, wage structure, unemployment insurance, etc … persistent unemployment in Europe. US labor market institutions, assumed to leave markets unfettered, became the benchmark for … unemployment has shielded away from the policy of central banks. Actually, however, the institutional setup regarding monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003836155
Ljungqvist and Sargent (2017) (LS) show that unemployment fluctuations can be understood in terms of a quantity they … understanding unemployment fluctuations. We show how the LS framework can be adapted to incorporate risk premia. We derive an … show how to use properties of the artificial economy to deduce how risk premia affect unemployment dynamics in the original …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649569
The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796190
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012041663