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The cross-sectional average of pairwise correlations across stocks traded on the NYSE, AMEX, and Nasdaq is a powerful predictor of U.S. economic activity at a horizon of one to four years. Its predictive ability is on a par with the slope of the yield curve and significantly exceeds that of some...
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Asymmetries in volatility spillovers are highly relevant to risk valuation and portfolio diversification strategies in … volatility may spill over at different magnitudes. This paper fills this gap with two contributions. One, we suggest how to … quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers due to bad and good volatility. Two, using high frequency data covering most …
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