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Business cycles and economic growth have long been studied separately, hindering understanding of the nature and causes of economic fluctuations and growth. Here, we present an economic model that incorporates both deterministic trends and persistent fluctuations, derived from a general economic...
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This paper examines the frequency-domain implications of the serial correlation common feature in order to evaluate its merits as an indicator of common business cycles among economic variables. It is shown that the presence of the serial correlation common feature in the first differences of a...
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is unlikely. Current output gap estimates based on deterministic trends are likely to be too negative and inflation …
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We analyze public debt sustainability in Serbia between 2004Q3 and 2014Q3. The results of our analysis are: i) public debt to GDP ratio is on unsustainable path, according to the results of unit root tests; ii) the response of primary fiscal balance to public debt accumulation is insufficient to...
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